Predicting the final temperature of a part is not always an easy thing to do. It becomes a complex task for complex parts.

We’re going to predict this final temperature for something simple, like air coil inductors. The mathematics found can “loosely” be applied to more complicated parts but certainly, the approach can be applied to more complex parts.

Let’s say we wish to find the temperature at a distance of one wire radius above or away from the surface of the part you see below…

Why one wire radius? As you will see shortly the math works out nicely for this distance away from the wire surface…

We’re going to do this analysis using a thermal circuit equivalence to an electrical circuit most of us are more familiar with…

Here the temperature difference is like the voltage difference, the flow of heat with time is like the flow of charge with time (current) and there is a thermal resistance that is like an electrical resistance… See the thermal circuit below…

Now some definitions:

**Q = heat flow per unit time – analogous to charge flow per unit time**

**ΔT = the difference in temperature across some thermal resistance**

**RT = Thermal Resistance**

**Now to define thermal resistance mathematically:**

This is just like electrical resistance being proportional to length and inversely proportional to conductivity and area…

Here we’ll take the thermal conductivity to be that of air because we are going to assume that given the very short distance above the wire we wish to predict the temperature at that this boundary temperature is better predicted by using conduction math instead of convection math.

Predicting this temperature using convective heat transfer is less accurate due to the unknown and varying values of heat transfer coefficients, as well as the different surface areas presented by the many different forms.

Heat transfer coefficients can range from 0.5 to 1000 Watts per meter squared Kelvin (calm air, air density, light breeze, free or forced air, etc…) which means in almost every case you’ll never “guess” the right value to use for your predictions…

The short distance of one wire radius above the wire surface I have found makes the following method fairly accurate when I compare the math with actual measurements.

Let’s continue…

Now we defined earlier that Q was the heat flow per unit time… this is energy per unit time and energy per unit time is power.

We will assume that the heat energy being generated per unit time is due to I2R, or electrical power loss.

Now the A in the formula is the area present at the boundary the heat is moving through. We will make another assumption here that this area is the surface area of all the wire making up all the turns of the inductor…

This area would then be:

This is the circumference of the wire multiplied by its entire length… it is the surface area of all the wire used.

Now here is where our initial claim of predicting the temperature at one wire radius length above the surface comes in to play. The little “l” in the above formula is the length over which the heat moves while passing through area A. This we set to “r” initially, so this formula reduces to:

Ok, now let’s replace the resistance, R, with it’s defined formula…

Now we’ve already said that L is the total wire length used when finding the area the heat passes through. This is also the same L used in determining resistance…

In the above formula, A, is the wire’s cross-sectional area…

Ok, we’re almost done…

Let’s separate the delta T and solve for the final/hot temperature alone…

So let’s now make a prediction…

I have the air core inductor seen at the beginning of this write up that uses 2.0mm diameter wire. I am going to put 20A of current through it and measure the temperature at 1mm above the wire surface and see what it is…

Prediction says it should be:

**I measure with a thermocouple about 37.3˚, for a percent difference of about 1.35%.**

This whole analysis applies to coils with an air core, of a single layer whose individual turns have a bit of space between them as the prediction was made assuming all the wire of every turn has a surface area that heat can move out into air from.

As soon as the turns are set closely adjacent to each other the surface area is reduced and the actual temperature will be higher. If the turns are wound on more than one layer then surface area is reduced and the actual temperature will be higher.

If a core other than air is used it will have a thermal conductivity other than air and heat will move into it likely more easily than into the air, reducing the temperature.

Heat energy is energy and it is conserved – hold it back in one place and it will simply work harder getting into other places – let it move more freely into one place and it will simply work less at getting into other places.

There are many factors to consider but this final result should give you a formula you can use “loosely” with more complicated parts and part structures but the approach will still be valid if applied to more complex structures/forms.

That approach being analyzing the flow of heat and the temperature differences seen due to the interaction of this heat flow and the thermal resistances it comes into contact with.